The Relationship Between Home Prices and Rent Amounts

It is widely accepted that rent amounts are athese two years according to the market
fundamental factor in determining the value oftracking company MDA DataQuick. Responding on
housing. If housing prices rise too far out of linecue, the real estate research firm RealFacts Inc.
with rents, a combination of declines in homereported that rents increased by approximately
values and increases in rent amounts will ultimately10% over the same period.
occur and enable these two averages to correctIt may seem illogical that rents could actually
back toward each other. Although this relationshipincrease amidst falling home prices and the
between housing values and rents has enduredeconomic downturn that usually accompanies a
the many peaks and valleys of past real estatepoor housing market. Yet it is actually a poor
cycles, the events of the years from 1996 toeconomic environment that often acts to
2006 strained this interconnection tostimulate the residential rental market. For
unprecedented extents. However, just as gravityexample, the decline of economic conditions from
causes objects to eventually fall to the earth,2007 through 2008 brought the construction of
subsequent years have shown that thisnew housing and apartments to a virtual halt,
correlation between housing prices and rent isthereby stunting the supply of available rental
destined to survive.property. Simultaneously, the demand for rentals
An examination of Freddie Mac’s conventionalwas enhanced by a dramatic increase in the size
mortgage house price index reveals that Unitedof the available tenant base. Families displaced
States home prices doubled from 1996 to 2006.from foreclosed properties, growing populations,
Alternatively, the consumer price index showspotential buyers refraining from purchasing until
that rent amounts only increased half as much ashome prices stabilize, difficulties in obtaining
sales prices over the same period of time. Thisfinancing, and widespread job losses all contributed
created an identifiable imbalance in this typicallyto make renting a very attractive option for large
synchronized relationship, which then served as asegments of the population.
reliable predictor of the paths that both homeAs evidenced above, housing prices and rents
values and rental amounts would follow in theremained interconnected despite the intense
years to come.pressures that pulled them apart. Although often
As if imitating a cinema production featuring twooverlooked, this durable relationship should be
lovers involuntarily forced apart, the years ofutilized to help predict housing market conditions
2007 and 2008 set the scene for housing pricesand prevent the occurrence of economic crises
and rents to once again be reunited. Nationwidewell into the future.
housing values tumbled by approximately 35% in