"Housing Market Stumbles" Headline Wall Street Journal July 21, 2010

I love it when I read these types of headlines. Iwhy Europe is on the verge of collapse. Is this a
always get a chuckle and say "So, what did youmodel we want to follow??
expect?"Back here in the US all we hear from our leaders
The $ 8,000 home buyer credit was notis negativity. Words matter and you have to
renewed. FHA, Freddie Mac and Fannie Mae haveunderstand they say them more for political
tightened lending requirements.reasons. A scared population is a compliant one
The "BIG BANKS" are imposing their ownthat will agree with your political ideas. And this
ridiculous rules on top of the government rules.has worked well: think 9-11, war in Iraq, TARP
And you expect the housing market to thrive.Stimulus 1 2 or 3 (I forgot, they keep adding
To quote a cartoon character, "DOH!"them on), saving GM 'for America', and the list
Here are some of the particulars in the story: Thecould go on. In all of these events our leaders
U.S. Census Bureau reports single family housingincreased the fear factor to new heights making
starts in June fell by 0.7% to a seasonallypeople believe if they did not go along all hell was
adjusted annual rate of 454,000. The U.S. startedgoing to break loose and we would all be out on
1.47 million in 2006 before the bubble burst. Thethe streets. Americans and most of Europe are
article goes on to claim that a variety of factorsparalyzed with fear escalated by our elected
have led to a flagging confidence including aleaders. The job market and the housing market
sluggish labor market, global turmoil and fallingwon't turn around till Main Street starts to feel
stock prices.good about its future.
I find it amazing that these so called experts inSo what does this mean for Real Estate
Washington and New York are clueless as to whyinvestors? You need to pick your markets very
we are in trouble on all fronts. Let's take the laborcarefully.
market. I'm no economist or Harvard scholar but IThe best markets may not be where you are
can sure figure out why the job market is in suchinvesting now. For example Florida, my home
turmoil. How about the constant barrage ofstate, is very anti business. The Government
criticism, rules and regulations that keep CEO andseems to go out of its way to discourage
the local business owners guessing "what's next"business from moving here. They want tourism,
Over the past 4 years the auto industry, banking,service jobs and retirees. That is living in the past.
financial, and insurance industries have beenWe need high paying good quality jobs if Florida is
terrorized by Washington and special interestto survive and thrive in the market place.
groups. They have to explain everything fromOn the other hand, just to our north, Georgia is
CEO pay to why they're not being green enoughgrabbing every job that brings in good pay, health
for the environmental groups.care and is a asset to the community and the
Don't get me wrong, Wall Street and the bankingState. Companies from all over the world are
sector went on a GREED spree like none insigning lease contracts and purchase contracts
history. But with that said, all of the banking andand plan to hire tens of thousands of Georgians.
financial sectors have been placed underBoth states have housing problems and job losses
government rule with all kinds of draconianbut one is being proactive and the other is sitting
regulations that have stifled creativity andon South Beach having a cold one and taking in
confidence. Washington has taken their typicalthe sights!!!Which state will improve faster?
reactive and not proactive stance.All over the country this is being repeated, with
Now let's take business, especially big business.some states fighting for every job while others
They have tax incentives to take jobs overseas.are living in the past. There have been a number
Does it make sense to anyone for businesses toof articles in national publications that more and
be laying off people here and exporting jobsmore companies and people are moving to
elsewhere? Obviously it makes good businessSouthern and Mid Western States. Don't believe
sense. The biggest complaint is that taxesit's because of the weather. Northern States and
overseas are better than and not as high as theWestern States are still living in the 50's and 60's
U.S. This might be the case but I have seen somementally when government was supposed to
reports that show most major companies payknow what was best for the people and the
very little federal income tax and most get abusiness community. They are all super high tax
major credit. So, is it really taxes, or could it bestates and still not able to see what their
something else? Cheap labor in some third worldproblems are. They are all on the verge of
country may make the quarterly P and L lookbankruptcy and they blame everyone but
good for stock holders but eventually thatthemselves. Think California, New York, New
catches up to you when no one here has anyJersey and any one of the New England states.
money to buy your product.So as an investor you must really do your
Global economic turmoil and falling stock prices arehomework before you invest in an area especially
all a factor of Governments around the worldif you are not from that area. What was a good
becoming so big and cumbersome they stiflebet in the past might not be safe any longer.
growth. In some countries the retirement age isDue diligence is more important they ever. Take
55 and then people live off the government dolethe extra time on this part of your Real Estate
for the rest of their lives.Tax rates in somebusiness and big profits will come your way.
countries are in the 80% range to pay for all theBecause the rest of the world is scared to death
government social programs and an everand can't or won't make decisions so profits are
increasing portion of the population doesn't paythere for the taking. You just need to have
taxes at all (sound familiar?). And you wondercourage to go where others are afraid to.